Jr Bartholomew
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |