5
Positive Equity
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |