Unionista

4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 69

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-30	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2024-11-29	Churchill Downs	?	10th	7th	+3	3.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▼

Strength48%

Delivery trend -25.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/11/2024	10th	20/1	0%	18%	+0.18
30/06/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	75%	-0.07