Classic Kitten
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 71
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 10/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/09/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |