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3

Eye Shadow

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 76 par4/07C7OR 76C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 77 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 83 par22/10C6OR 83C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 84 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 6f 119 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 82 par14/04C8OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 87 par16/06C5OR 87C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 75 par4/08C7OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-11-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0711/1116/064/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20255th15/261%33%-0.27
09/08/20253rd7/491%60%-0.31
22/10/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
11/11/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
14/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
02/05/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
16/06/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
08/07/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
04/08/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15