4

My Bossy Lady
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 26/12/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |