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2

When's Forever

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 69

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/04/2025 · OR 72 par30/04C5OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 6f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 74 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 78 par9/08C8OR 78C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 74 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 6f 119 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 76 par29/09C8OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 72 par7/05C5OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 70 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 70 par9/07C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2025-09-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0425/087/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20252nd11/893%88%-0.05
22/05/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
09/08/20256th11/271%0%-0.71
25/08/20253rd9/153%60%+0.07
29/09/20252nd6/492%75%-0.17
22/04/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
07/05/20264th4/179%25%-0.54
23/06/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
09/07/20264th9/153%0%-0.53