6
American Wind
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |