1
Oh Please
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/10/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |