9
Slam Dunk Justice
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 96
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 29% | -0.66 |