7
Vaporizer
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |