3

Beach Feature

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 64 · 1f130y Fas 126 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 64 par13/07C8OR 64C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 67 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 67 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 1f80y 126 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 65 par2/09C8OR 65C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 66 · 1f110y 126 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 66 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 1f130y Gd 126 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 69 par12/11C5OR 69C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 73 · 1f80y 128 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 71 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 71 par13/05C5OR 71C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 73 · 1f130y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 75 par13/08C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th8th+1
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-04-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2025-11-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-11-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/073/1113/0513/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20256th16/116%44%+0.29
06/08/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
02/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
03/11/20254th20/10%67%+0.67
12/11/20253rd9/276%78%+0.01
21/04/202610th11/486%0%-0.86
13/05/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
04/07/20269th20/10%0%0.00
13/08/20264th4/179%50%-0.29