Mg Pilot Boy
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-09-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA78 | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2023 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 02/07/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/09/2024 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 09/10/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 14/11/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |