9

Oscar Mike

7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/09/2023 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark19/09/2023 · OR 82 par19/09C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/10/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark12/10/2023 · OR 85 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2023 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark30/10/2023 · OR 88 par30/10C5OR 88C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 92 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2024 · OR 92 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 90 · 110y Fas 128 · below its mark15/08/2024 · OR 90 par15/08C5OR 90C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2024 · OR 88 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 88 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark17/09/2024 · OR 88 par17/09C5OR 88C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 87 · 2f Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 87 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 87 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/06/2025 · OR 87 par3/06C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2024-10-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th8th+1
2024-09-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2024-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1
2024-08-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2024-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/094/0617/093/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20233rd5/174%71%-0.02
12/10/20231st5/493%100%+0.07
30/10/20233rd2/189%78%-0.12
04/06/20242nd4/179%89%+0.10
15/08/20247th3/184%14%-0.70
03/09/20243rd9/153%78%+0.25
17/09/20242nd7/163%88%+0.24
26/10/20249th15/261%11%-0.49
03/06/20255th12/137%56%+0.19