7
Streakindownthebeach
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 44% | -0.50 |