11

Gold D'ecroville
10yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/02/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |