11

Gold D'ecroville

10yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/023C0 @ Caen 09/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?3 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/063C0 @ Enghien 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 09/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?0
2026-08-21Divonne Les Bains20
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?7th7th0
2026-07-29Enghien?5th5th0
2026-06-12Vincennes313th13th0
2026-05-22Vincennes30

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/029/0312/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
17/02/20265th28/10%69%+0.69
28/02/20262nd20/10%92%+0.92
09/03/20264th14/126%77%+0.51
15/04/20266th16/116%67%+0.51
02/05/20266th33/10%58%+0.58
12/06/202613th66/10%14%+0.14
29/07/20265th50/10%73%+0.73
09/08/20267th11/142%50%+0.08