5

Heidi Du Biset

9yo Mare · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 031/015C0 @ Graignes 15/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 06 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/036C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 05 @ Mauquenchy 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/065C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 04/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 04/08C?5 @ Cabourg 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1435 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/095projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes59th9th0
2026-08-21Cabourg57th7th0
2026-08-04Cabourg?9th9th0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?1st1st0
2026-06-04Mauquenchy55th5th0
2026-05-14Nantes50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0115/044/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/202611th33/10%17%+0.17
15/03/20263rd20/10%80%+0.80
26/03/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
15/04/20265th18/15%60%+0.55
04/06/20265th25/10%67%+0.67
30/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
04/08/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
21/08/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
04/09/20269th33/10%50%+0.50