1

Iggy Des Rioults

8yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 23/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/05C?C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 19/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 27/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/09C?C0 @ Caen 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/04C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 11/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05 @ Lisieux 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 029/085projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Lisieux55th5th0
2026-08-11Saint-Malo?12th12th0
2026-07-16Pornichet50
2026-06-15Caen?0
2026-06-04Mauquenchy50
2026-05-09Caen50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0519/0828/0429/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20255th13/266%60%-0.06
03/07/20252nd25/10%93%+0.93
01/08/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
19/08/20259th17/255%33%-0.22
27/09/20255th8/158%73%+0.15
11/10/20258th8/158%53%-0.05
28/04/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
11/08/202612th66/10%8%+0.08
29/08/20265th40/10%60%+0.60