13

Indien De Fontaine

8yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 03/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/09C?C0 @ Enghien 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 020/10C?3 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?3 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 020/05C?2 @ Vincennes 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-06-06Vincennes25th5th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?9th9th0
2026-05-02Vincennes33rd3rd0
2026-04-15Cordemais?3rd3rd0
2026-04-04Vincennes36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/094/0420/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20252nd15/261%93%+0.32
29/09/20252nd4/179%92%+0.13
20/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
04/04/20266th18/15%67%+0.61
15/04/20263rd10/382%87%+0.04
02/05/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46
20/05/20269th20/10%43%+0.43
06/06/20265th28/10%67%+0.67
05/09/20264th12/137%77%+0.40