12
Ipalio
8yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#15
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 06/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |