9
Japarov Lire
7yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Com De Com Thierache Du Centre - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Montier-En-Der | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 29/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |