2

Nagano Du Campdos

3yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Des Donneurs D'organes De L'aisne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ La Capelle 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/065C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 030/07C?5 @ Chartres 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/095projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chartres55th5th0
2026-07-30La Capelle?4th4th0
2026-06-19La Capelle58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0630/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20268th28/10%50%+0.50
30/07/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
11/09/20265th40/10%64%+0.64