3

Neon Du Parc

3yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Des Donneurs D'organes De L'aisne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Graignes 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/056C0 @ Cabourg 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 07/08C?5 @ Cabourg 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 021/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?0
2026-08-21Cabourg56th6th0
2026-08-07Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-07-25Le Mans50
2026-06-24Cherbourg?0
2026-05-22Graignes63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/057/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

Delivery trend -15.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20263rd66/10%82%+0.82
07/08/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
21/08/20266th40/10%50%+0.50