6

Noted Man

3yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Des Donneurs D'organes De L'aisne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 015/04C?5 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/055C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 08/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08Amiens?9th9th0
2026-05-08La Capelle55th5th0
2026-04-15Reims?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/048/058/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -23.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
08/05/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
08/06/20269th7/163%33%-0.30