7

Number One D'arbaz

3yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Des Donneurs D'organes De L'aisne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/055
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-08La Capelle54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20264th10/147%70%+0.23