7
Mawenzi
4yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Gorez - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Vire | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 12/02/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 07/03/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |