10

Mephisto Javanais

4yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Gorez - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Mauquenchy 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 021/0165 @ Vincennes 29/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 029/015C0 @ Cabourg 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 018/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?0
2026-08-18Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-08-13Enghien50
2026-08-07Cabourg?0
2026-03-26Lisieux50
2026-03-16Caen?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0129/0118/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -56.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
29/01/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
18/08/20265th4/179%60%-0.19