5

Milo De Nappes

4yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Gorez - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Mauquenchy 24/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 024/07C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 30/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Nancy 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 06 @ Nancy 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 026/066C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Strasbourg 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 027/085C0 @ Reims 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Reims?8th8th0
2026-08-27Strasbourg54th4th0
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?5th5th0
2026-06-26Nancy62nd2nd0
2026-06-08Amiens?5th5th0
2026-05-29Nancy?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/078/0627/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20253rd22/10%82%+0.82
30/03/20267th100/10%60%+0.60
29/05/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
08/06/20265th28/10%60%+0.60
26/06/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
05/08/20265th66/10%69%+0.69
27/08/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
13/09/20268th8/158%36%-0.22