2
Mister D'avoines
4yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Gorez - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/12/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/01/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |