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11

Murmure

4yo Colt · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Gorez - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#4

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nancy 30/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 030/05C?C0 @ La Capelle 21/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/07C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 04/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/02C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/03C?6 @ La Capelle 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/0765 @ Enghien 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?0
2026-08-13Enghien56th6th0
2026-07-24La Capelle62nd2nd0
2026-07-13Le Mans?0
2026-03-30Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-03-07Le Croise-Laroche?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0521/074/027/0324/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20257th18/15%25%+0.20
21/07/20258th18/15%50%+0.45
04/02/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
07/03/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
24/07/20262nd16/116%92%+0.76
13/08/20266th14/126%62%+0.35