8
Hercule De Bea
9yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2024 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 06/01/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/04/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |