1
I Love Du Cherisay
8yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Lisieux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 30/08/2024 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 03/10/2024 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |