9

Iona Gendreenne

8yo Mare · 10-1

La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14312/12C?C0 @ Laval 05/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 121C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 05/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Cholet 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 13227/04C?C0 @ Angers 12/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f117y 05 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 1324/065C0 @ Chatelaillon 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 143C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 03/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 1413/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-Lomagne?12th12th0
2026-08-03Chatelaillon?4th4th0
2026-06-04Pontchateau53rd3rd0
2026-05-12Angers?7th7th0
2026-04-27Cholet?6th6th0
2025-11-22Vincennes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1222/114/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20245th25/10%73%+0.73
05/02/20255th16/116%67%+0.51
05/11/202510th40/10%40%+0.40
22/11/202510th14/126%25%-0.01
27/04/20266th28/10%64%+0.64
12/05/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
04/06/20263rd40/10%78%+0.78
03/08/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
03/09/202612th16/116%21%+0.06