13
Iquem Narcy
8yo Gelding · 9-10
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/11/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |