6
Iron Spirit
8yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 18
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 18 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/09/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/09/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/09/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |