4
Isidore Bonheur
8yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Vincennes | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 10/11/2025 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 15/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |