10

Jacadi Brouets

7yo Gelding · 10-1

La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/0154 @ Nantes 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f173y Std 06 @ Chartres 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 07/056C0 @ Vincennes 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Std 02/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02La Capelle?8th8th0
2026-07-30La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-07-07La Capelle?10th10th0
2026-06-16Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Les Sables?0
2026-05-07Chartres64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0122/047/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
16/01/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
11/02/20269th22/10%43%+0.43
22/04/20262nd33/10%93%+0.93
07/05/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
16/06/20263rd3/184%86%+0.02
07/07/202610th12/137%40%+0.03
30/07/20266th18/15%58%+0.53
02/09/20268th20/10%22%+0.22