11
Jawax De Keryann
7yo Gelding · 8-13
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Enghien | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/12/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.13 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |