2
Jumper Matidy
7yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 7 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Lisieux | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-15 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-30 | Amiens | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2023 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 69% | -0.16 |
| 17/06/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 88% | -0.10 |
| 03/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 16/06/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |