3
Jupiter Du Perche
7yo Gelding · 10-3
La Capelle · Prix L'aisne Nouvelle - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 7 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |