4
Kaolin Mourotais
6yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-16 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2023 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 28/09/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/11/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 10/11/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 16/03/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/05/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 21/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |