3

Kapriccio

6yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#5

Rank

Odds

39/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 014/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 020/07C?C0 @ Les Sables 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Les Sables?6th6th0
2026-08-04Les Sables?5th5th0
2026-07-20La Capelle?3rd3rd0
2026-06-14La Capelle?6th6th0
2025-08-28Pornichet?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0814/0620/074/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
14/06/20266th14/126%67%+0.40
20/07/20263rd6/168%83%+0.15
04/08/20265th3/184%73%-0.11
26/08/20266th9/153%62%+0.09