3

Kapriccio
6yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |