7
Karisme Nay
6yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Reims | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-07-18 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-28 | Nancy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 28/06/2024 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 18/07/2024 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 15/09/2024 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 23% | -0.24 |
| 08/12/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |