11

Kaya Du Saptel

6yo Mare · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 026/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 02/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1393 @ Vincennes 17/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 017/0134 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 020/07C?C0 @ Enghien 02/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 25/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25La Capelle?9th9th0
2026-08-02Enghien?9th9th0
2026-07-20La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-07-09Enghien46th6th0
2026-01-17Vincennes310th10th0
2025-12-20Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1020/1220/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20253rd16/116%86%+0.70
08/11/20253rd4/179%87%+0.08
02/12/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
20/12/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
17/01/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
09/07/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
20/07/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
02/08/20269th7/282%11%-0.70
25/08/20269th4/179%33%-0.46