1

Kiss Melody

6yo Mare · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2023 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Gd 011/01C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/06/2023 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 22/07/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 20/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 28/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134C0 @ La Capelle 31/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/07C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 06 @ Divonne Les Bains 20/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 020/086projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Divonne Les Bains612th12th0
2025-08-21Divonne Les Bains?10th10th0
2025-08-11Divonne Les Bains?0
2025-07-31La Capelle?5th5th0
2024-12-06Vincennes?10th10th0
2024-11-28Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0120/0831/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20236th25/10%55%+0.55
15/06/20235th22/10%67%+0.67
22/07/202411th50/10%23%+0.23
20/08/202410th20/10%40%+0.40
28/11/20242nd11/142%93%+0.51
06/12/202410th3/184%40%-0.44
31/07/20255th25/10%73%+0.73
21/08/202510th33/10%31%+0.31
20/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15