12
Kontessa Dream
6yo Mare · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Pays De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-27 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 93% | -0.00 |
| 05/11/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 93% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 02/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/06/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |