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7

Liberty Avenue

5yo Filly · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 02/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/03C?5 @ Nancy 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/04C?5 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/055C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Std 07/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Enghien 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/085projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?0
2026-08-13Enghien53rd3rd0
2026-07-20La Capelle?8th8th0
2026-07-07La Capelle?9th9th0
2026-06-29Enghien?5th5th0
2026-05-08La Capelle58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/032/057/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/202610th66/10%40%+0.40
28/03/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
19/04/20265th28/10%50%+0.50
02/05/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
08/05/20268th22/10%36%+0.36
29/06/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
07/07/20269th20/10%38%+0.38
20/07/20268th40/10%53%+0.53
13/08/20263rd40/10%85%+0.85