14
Lily Pom Mix
5yo Filly · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/12/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/02/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 24/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |