5
Lipinska
5yo Filly · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |