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15

Little Star Jiel

5yo Filly · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 13/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/02C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/03C?C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30La Capelle?7th7th0
2026-07-23Mauquenchy60
2026-04-02Mauquenchy60
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?4th4th0
2025-03-11Enghien?0
2025-02-20Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1225/124/0120/0223/0330/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20243rd2/189%75%-0.14
25/12/20242nd13/266%90%+0.24
04/01/20253rd10/147%83%+0.36
20/02/20256th9/153%55%+0.02
23/03/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
30/07/20267th18/15%54%+0.49